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Le Chat Noir's avatar

Excellent analysis. Only comment I will make is I don’t think omicron came about by adapting to the vaccine (though your mechanism is certainly plausible), because there is strong evidence it was actually another lab leak. It is evolutionary much more similar to the ancestral wuhan strain, it has not followed the same evolutionary path of Delta etc. Check it out if you have not heard this before. I think Mathew Crawford on his Rounding the Earth sub stack discusses it, from memory

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Julian Gillespie's avatar

brilliant analysis, and right on with every point

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